Friday, May 11, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney earning 50% of the vote and President Obama attracting 43% support. Four percent (4%) would vote for a third party candidate, while another three percent (3%) are undecided.
Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).
This is the first time Romney has reached the 50% level of support and is his largest lead ever over the president. It comes a week after a disappointing jobs report that raised new questions about the state of the economy. See tracking history.
Thirty-seven percent (37%) give the president good or excellent marks for his handling of the economy. Forty-eight percent (48%) say he’s doing a poor job. Consumer confidence has slipped four points since last week’s government report on job creation and unemployment. The number who believe their personal finances are getting better slipped from 30% a week ago to 28% today. The number who fear their finances are getting worse increased from 43% before the jobs report to 47% today.
Scott Rasmussen’s weekly syndicated column notes that Senator Richard Lugar’s loss in a Republican primary highlights the sour relationship between voters and politicians. “In many troubled relationships, both sides deserve some of the blame. But the United States is a nation founded on the belief that governments gain their legitimacy only from the consent of the governed. In the relationship between the people and the Political Class, that means the voters are right, and the politicians need to change.”
Sixty-five percent (65%) of voters are angry at the policies of the federal government. Fifty-three percent (53%) believe neither Republican nor Democratic political leaders have a good understanding of what is needed today.
Governor Scott Walker has a modest lead as he seeks to keep his job in the Wisconsin recall battle.
(President Obama’s Job Approval Ratings Below)
A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 44% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. That’s his lowest level of approval in two months. Fifty-five percent (55%) at least somewhat disapprove (see trends).
Political analyst Larry Sabato takes a look at the congressional elections and wonders if the Senate is fit to be tied.
Thirty-one percent (31%) believe the country is generally heading in the right direction.
Eight-out-of-10 believe that the events in Europe could have a negative impact on the U.S. economy. Sixty-one percent (61%) believe the best thing the Europeans can do to help their economy is to cut government spending.
To get a sense of longer-term Job Approval trends for the president, Rasmussen Reports also compiles our tracking data on a full month-by-month basis.
(Daily Approval Index Updates Below)
Intensity of support or opposition can have an impact on campaigns. Currently, 23% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -19 (see trends).
During midterm elections, intensity of support can have a tremendous impact on turnout. That was demonstrated in 2010 when Republicans and unaffiliated voters turned out in large numbers to express opposition to the Obama administration’s policies. However, in presidential election years, there is a smaller impact on turnout.
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